Hong Kong Happy Valley Horse Racing Betting Analysis (17 October 2021)

(Sunday, October 17, 2021)

Race 1: #8 Go Go Sixteen, #5 Dragon Commander, #3 Joyful Heart, #1 Ezra
Race 2: #2 Cheerful Days, #6 King Of The Court, #11 Voyage Star, #4 Infinite Power
Race 3: #2 Gracylove, #6 Enchanting Start, #7 Viva Hunter, #1 Falcon Turbo
Race 4: #1 Victory Scholars, #4 Infinity Win, #3 Party Warrior, #5 Whizz Kid
Race 5: #11 Precise Express, #6 Enzemble, #9 Above, #7 Entrusted
Race 6: #12 Naboo Attack, #7 Super Wealthy, #6 Courier Wonder, #1 Sky Field
Race 7: #5 C P Brave, #7 Enjoying, #3 Super Football, #9 Zebrowski
Race 8: #2 Ka Ying Star, #3 Waikuku, #7 Sky Darci, #10 Tourbillon Diamond
Race 9: #2 My Sugar, #4 Tempest Express, #9 Master Hero, #5 Gift Of Lifeline
Race 10: #6 Trillion Win, #2 Fantastic Treasure, #12 Fantastic Way, #1 Winning Dreamer

Race 1: Girard-Perregaux Excellent Handicap

#8 Go Go Sixteen has done well so far this campaign. He looks ready to step up in trip and this contest looks suitable from gate two with just 119lb assigned. #5 Dragon Commander draws well and is a winner over this distance. He’s next best. #3 Joyful Heart gets up in trip. Zac Purton hops aboard and he should be competitive here. #1 Ezra won well last time out. He’s shown his adaptability over this distance previously and rates as a leading chance albeit with top weight.

Race 2: IWC Schauffhausen Excellent Handicap

#2 Cheerful Days is a better horse than his record suggests. He’s mixed his form but has shown plenty of capabilities previously. Zac Purton hops up and this contest is suitable. #6 King Of The Court was impressive first-up when finishing second. He can improve off that effort here and remains next in line. #11 Voyage Star is after back-to-back wins. Don’t discount down in the weights. #4 Infinite Power is expected to roll forward and play catch me if you can. He can test this bunch.

Race 3: H. Moser & CIE. Excellent Handicap

#2 Gracylove is nothing short of consistent. He’s in superb form and he should get every chance to snatch a well-deserved win. #6 Enchanting Start has plenty of ability. Joao Moreira hops up and he’s looked very well in the lead-up to his resumption. #7 Viva Hunter won well first-up this term. He draws favourably and should get the right run to be competitive here. #1 Falcon Turbo draws well but does have to contend with a hefty impost. He can improve again off a solid first-up run.

Race 4: Grand Seiko Excellent Handicap

#1 Victory Scholars is favoured by the draw and appointment of Zac Purton. He can roll forward and prove tough to get past here for trainer David Hall. #4 Infinity Win has shown consistency and ability across three starts so far. He gets his chance as long as he can offset the awkward draw. #3 Party Warrior is another who has done well early on in his career so far. Joao Moreira hops up and he looks well suited to Sha Tin after exclusively racing at Sha Tin. #5 Whizz Kid is next best for Karis Teetan.

Race 5: Franck Muller Excellent Handicap

#11 Precise Express closed well first-up. He looks suited getting up in trip and is favoured with the in-form Matthew Chadwick taking the reins. #6 Enzemble should improve off his first-up run. He gets Zac Purton up again which suits and he should get his opportunity. #9 Above is another who will appreciate getting up in distance. Still, he might be after 10 furlongs so this could still be a touch short to his liking. #7 Entrusted won well last time out. He’s favoured by the draw but he will need to step-up again.

Race 6: G2 Premier Bowl Handicap

#12 Naboo Attack is a supreme talent who is favoured by the conditions here as he rises in grade. The light weight suits, especially for this behemoth of a horse who doesn’t appear to have reached his ceiling yet. #7 Super Wealthy is in career-best form after winning a G3 down the straight last start. #6 Courier Wonder is unbeaten but this contest will tell us how good he really is. He doesn’t appear favoured by the conditions but still, he is a prolific winner. #1 Sky Field closed nicely for second last start. Expect further improvement.

Race 7: Parmigiani Fleurier Excellent Handicap

#5 C P Brave looks a sublime talent after his stylish win last time out. He can continue his ascent here for Joao Moreira and Tony Millard even though he steps up in trip. #7 Enjoying has been working very, very well. He oozes class and is worth supporting on a win and place line. #3 Super Football is better than his first-up ninth suggests. He can return to form for Jimmy Ting and Zac Purton. #9 Zebrowski is continually improving. He’s on a Hong Kong Derby trail and we should begin to see the best of him now over a distance.

Race 8: Oriental Watch 60th Anniversary G2 Sha Tin Trophy Handicap

#2 Ka Ying Star finished a close-up second in this race last year to Golden Sixty and if he runs up to that level here then he could well prove difficult to beat. Suspect he rolls forward from the favourable gate three and plays catch me if you can from there. #3 Waikuku has a stack of class and he draws favourably for his return. Suspect he can put setbacks behind him. #7 Sky Darci is the Derby winner. He did well first-up and will relish the added distance. #10 Tourbillon Diamond falls into a similar boat. The added furlong enhances his claims.

Race 9: Corum Excellent Handicap

#2 My Sugar is looking for a hat-trick of wins. He’s returned in excellent order this term and should be able to continue his ascent through the grades. #4 Tempest Express has class and is a two-time winner in this grade. He’ll benefit from the first-up run. #9 Master Hero led and won easily last time out. Suspect he rolls forward to try and pinch this for Joao Moreira. #5 Gift Of Lifeline only needs to offset the wide gate to be competitive here. He’s a chance for Luke Ferraris.

Race 10: Piaget Excellent Handicap

#6 Trillion Win downed Naboo Attack last time out and his giant-slaying efforts could well continue here against Fantastic Treasure. Gate one suits for the Manfred Man-trainee and he could well find himself in the right spot once again. #2 Fantastic Treasure is unbeaten. This is his toughest to date and while he could come unstuck, he has proven a prolific winner so far. #12 Fantastic Way is a talent. He slots in light for Joao Moreira but will need offset the awkward draw. #1 Winning Dreamer should improve back in grade. He was once a prolific winner who is looks close to getting back on the board.

Disclaimer: For reference purpose only. All above views expressed are those of the author and do not represent the views of ASAA88.