Hong Kong Sha Tin Horse Racing Betting Analysis (27 October 2021)

(Wednesday, October 27, 2021)

Race 1: #7 Run Run Good, #2 Amazing Knight, #9 Smiling Face, #1 Dragon Kingdom
Race 2: #1 Hongkong Great, #7 Telecom Fighters, #3 Kings Shield, #6 Red Desert
Race 3: #4 Turf Brilliant, #7 Figures Two, #6 Ruby Stars, #9 Amazing Luck
Race 4: #3 Super Mission, #4 Steel Win, #9 Fortune Happiness, #6 Master Aqua
Race 5: #3 Party Everyday, #2 Super Fast,#13 Oh Bravo, #1 Double Take
Race 6: #10 Lucky Ruby, #8 Blotting Paper, #5 Sunny Delight, #2 Eight Trigrams
Race 7: #10 Gold Comet, #3 Chancheng Prince, #4 Elite Patch, #6 Star Performance
Race 8: #2 Speedy Mouse, #12 Good Health, #7 War Of Courage, #3 Gunnison

Race 1: Tsim Mei Fung Handicap

Difficult race to kick off the evening. #7 Run Run Good trialled well on the dirt before his last-start struggles and it wouldn’t shock to see him bounce back to a competitive nature here. #2 Amazing Knight did well when finishing fourth two starts ago. He can recapture that form, especially with leading jockey Zac Purton up. #9 Smiling Face draws well and might be able to show something close to the speed. #1 Dragon Kingdom bears close watching for Me Tsui, who can really get them firing on the dirt.

Race 2: Hebe Hill Handicap

#1 Hongkong Great is a supreme talent on the dirt as a three-time course and distance winner. He has a stack of class as a three-time Chilean G1 winner – expect he rolls forward and isn’t for catching here. #7 Telecom Fighters is looking for back-to-back wins following an easy triumph at Happy Valley recently. He moved well on the dirt in a trial before that and does look a leading contender here. #3 Kings Shield can bounce back to form easily enough. #6 Red Desert is next best in a competitive feature race.

Race 3: Wa Mei Shan Handicap

#4 Turf Brilliant draws poorly but is open to improvement. He won second-up last term over this course and distance and is going well enough at present. Zac Purton hops up and his chances here look strong. #7 Figures Two has trialled well on the dirt previously. Expect he finds that form here as the likely value runner of the race. #6 Ruby Stars can roll forward from gate one. Expect he tries to pinch this for under Chad Schofield for Manfred Man. #9 Amazing Luck is next best from the good gate.

Race 4: Tin Ha Shan Handicap (2nd Section)

#3 Super Mission trialled well on the dirt before snatching third first-up on the turf. He’s shown a liking to the surface and the step back in trip appears a plus. #4 Steel Win is looking for back-to-back wins. He’s done nothing wrong and should benefit from the first-up outing. Although, this won’t be easy. #9 Fortune Happiness is a dirt maestro who should relish stepping away from gate two. #6 Master Aqua is better than his first-up defeat suggests.

Race 5: Tiu Yue Yung Handicap

#3 Party Everyday has a stack of ability but a racing pattern which is against him. He tends to get back and finish off – which can at times – leave him with too much work to do. Still, he managed to close well on a rain affect surface last start, enough so to suggest his form at present is sound. #2 Super Fast demolished a classy field over this trip last term. He’s the main danger. #13 Oh Bravo is a light weight chance. He deserves respect on the dirt. #1 Double Take gets a handy weight relief. Next best.

Race 6: Tin Ha Shan Handicap (1st Section)

#10 Lucky Ruby owns a slick personal best over this course and distance. He’s a two-time winner on the dirt and with the right run for Alexis Badel, he does shape as the one to beat. #8 Blotting Paper is another with smart performances on the dirt. Suspect he’s down to a competitive mark now. #5 Sunny Delight is on the steady improve. The wide gate will slow him down but he looks to have his fair share of ability. #2 Eight Trigrams has race-fitness on his side. He’s next best.

Race 7: Shek Uk Shan Handicap

#10 Gold Comet can turn his form around here from the good gate. He was caught behind runners on rain affected going and if he manages to settle more positively here, then he is the one to beat. #3 Chancheng Prince surprised at 52/1 last start. Still, he’s American bred which helps him on this surface as does the good draw. #4 Elite Patch blitzed rivals by five lengths on the dirt last season. He’s capable and Zac Purton’s engagement bears close watching. #6 Star Performance won well three starts ago. Don’t discount.

Race 8: Pyramid Hill Handicap

#2 Speedy Mouse is a considerable talent. He shapes as the one to beat here from the good gate after his gut-busting first-up effort. #12 Good Health is better than his record suggests. He looks like he makes a favourable switch to the dirt here, which is where he does the majority of his gallops. He’s worth supporting each way. #7 War of Courage has a bit of class. He knows how to win and deserves respect from gate one. #3 Gunnison has found his mark. He rattled into a competitive third last time out. Next best.

Disclaimer: For reference purpose only. All above views expressed are those of the author and do not represent the views of ASAA88.